Robert M. Cutler

Archives for EU Priorities and Opinion

It is in serious trouble, but is the Russian economy unsustainable? Western sanctions have restricted Russian companies’ access to international financial markets, but it is the state’s policies and priorities that are tanking its economic performance. Recent statistical releases show the Russian economy unsustainable without reform Recent statistical releases show that the gross domestic product… » read more

Posted by Robert Cutler

Azerbaijan will have an important say in whose gas enters TANAP. In the beginning its own gas from the offshore Shah Deniz deposit is on tap. Baku hopes that the Absheron deposit being developed with the French firm Total will follow suit in time for inclusion into an expanded South Caucasus Pipeline and TANAP system.… » read more

Posted by Robert Cutler

The EU seems finally beginning not only to realize its situation as a geopolitical and geo-economic actor in the energy sector, but also to take consequential steps in the real world that reflect its particular interests. This is preferable to its holding itself out as a bland and universal “exporter of European values” abstracted from… » read more

Posted by Robert Cutler

Turkmenistan has broken Russia’s stranglehold on its gas exports by opening a pipeline through Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan to China. The country’s president Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov has just made his first trip to New Delhi where the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India natural gas pipeline project was discussed. Earlier this year a short pipeline was opened in order to increase exports to Iran, and gas is in the process of being identified for eventual export to Europe via a Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline and the EU’s Southern Corridor. The era of Russian control over the country’s exports is over, and Ashgabat is taking care to make certain that it is not squeezed between Moscow and Beijing.

Posted by Robert Cutler

Dani Rodrik, Rafiq Hariri Professor of International Political Economy at Harvard University’s Kennedy School, was born in Istanbul. He writes: I no longer recognize Turkey, the country where I was raised and spend most of my time when I am not teaching in the U.S. It wasn’t so long ago that the country seemed to… » read more

Posted by Robert Cutler

Robert M. Cutler amerikai politológus-tanácsadó szerint a közép-európai országoknak muszáj együttműködniük az orosz befolyás csökkentéséért. Az oroszok a gázt politikai fegyverként használják, és a nagy nemzetközi vezetékekért folyó küzdelem akár fegyveres konfliktusok kitörésében is szerepet játszik. Az azeri gázmezők válthatják meg térségünket a moszkvai nyomástól.

Posted by Robert Cutler

Two events coincided this week to point towards further complications in Euro-Caspian energy geo-economics. Azerbaijan has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Georgia and Romania to promote liquefied natural gas (LNG) transportation across the Black Sea, and has separately announced the possibility of postponing a decision on the start-up of production from the offshore Shah Deniz Two natural gas field until 2017 (press reports cite various years from 2016 to 2018).

Posted by Robert Cutler

The EU is taking its time in deciding what real policy actions to implement regarding the crisis over Greek finances and the eurozone, but publics in Greece and elsewhere are not waiting to express their disenchantment with national and supranational elites.

Posted by Robert Cutler